Adelaide 19.10 (124) d West Coast 11.9 (75)
AAMI Stadium
Major ball winners:
Andrew Gaff (WCE) - 33 possessions, four inside 50ms and three clearances
Patrick Dangerfield (Adel) - 28 possessions, nine clearances, seven inside 50ms and 2.0
Scott Thompson (Adel) - 28 possessions, six tackles and four clearances
Matt Priddis (WCE) - 27 possessions, nine clearances and seven tackles
Richard Douglas (Adel) - 25 possessions, six clearances, six inside 50ms and 1.0
Jason Porplyzia (Adel) - 25 possessions, four inside 50ms and 3.1
Bernie Vince (Adel) - 25 possessions, four clearances and 4.0
Matt Wright (Adel) - 25 possessions, seven marks and 1.2
Nathan van Berlo (Adel) - 25 possessions, four inside 50ms and 1.2
Leading goalkickers:
Bernie Vince (Adel): 4.0
Jason Porplyzia (Adel: 3.1
Ashton Hams (WCE): 3.1
Coaches votes
9 Bernie Vince (Adel)
7 Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
7 Jason Porplyzia (Adel)
3 Rory Sloane (Adel)
2 Andrew Gaff (WCE)
1 Josh Jenkins (Adel)
1 Matt Wright (Adel)
Where the votes will go …
It could be a toss-up between Bernie Vince and Patrick Dangerfield for best on ground, while Jason Porplyzia should also feature in the voting after an influential three-goal display. An unexpected vote to Scott Thompson, who still found plenty of the ball, would be invaluable to his Brownlow Medal pursuit.
Our prediction:
3 - Bernie Vince (Adel)
2 - Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
1 - Jason Porplyzia (Adel)
Bernie Vince starred in his 100th game
Round 18
Adelaide 11.9 (75) lost to Geelong 15.12 (102)
Simonds Stadium
Major ball winners:
Scott Thompson (Adel) - 40 possessions, eight clearances and three tackles
Patrick Dangerfield (Adel) - 33 possessions, seven clearances, four inside 50ms and 2.0
Joel Selwood (Geel) - 26 possessions, seven clearances and six tackles
Richard Douglas (Adel) - 26 possessions, five inside 50ms and four clearances
Matt Wright (Adel) - 26 possessions, six clearances and six tackles
James Kelly (Geel) - 25 possessions, nine tackles and seven clearances
Leading goalkickers:
Paul Chapman: 3.1, 19 possessions and seven marks
Tom Hawkins: 3.3, 19 possessions, 11 marks and two tackles
Coaches votes
10 Tom Hawkins (Geel)
5 Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
4 Tom Lonergan (Geel)
4 Scott Thompson (Adel)
3 Allen Christensen (Geel)
2 Paul Chapman (Geel)
2 James Kelly (Geel)
Where the votes will go …
The Crows were in the contest for much of the day, only trailing by eight points at the final change but Geelong was too good in the end. Tom Hawkins was unstoppable in the Cats’ attack and should attract the three votes. Andrew Mackie didn’t earn recognition from the coaches, but kicked two crucial goals to change the momentum of the game and could feature in the voting. Allen Christensen, Paul Chapman, James Kelly and Joel Selwood are the other Geelong contenders. Patrick Dangerfield starred for Adelaide and could easily pinch a vote in a losing side.
Our prediction:
3 - Tom Hawkins (Geel)
2 - Andrew Mackie (Geel)
1 - Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
Can Dangerfield steal at vote at the Cattery?
Round 19
Adelaide 16.8 (104) d Essendon 15.10 (100)
AAMI Stadium
Major ball winners:
Jobe Watson (Ess): 31 possessions, seven clearances, seven tackles and 1.1
Patrick Dangerfield (Adel) : 29 possessions, 11 clearances, six inside 50ms and 3.1
Courtenay Dempsey (Ess): 27 possessions, eight marks, five inside 50ms and 1.0
Scott Thompson (Adel): 22 possessions, eight clearances and six tackles
Leading goalkickers:
Taylor Walker (Adel): 4.0, 12 possessions and seven marks
Jason Winderlich (Ess): 4.0, 10 possessions and six marks
Patrick Dangerfield (Adel): 3.1
Coaches votes
10 Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
7 Courtenay Dempsey (Ess)
7 Jobe Watson (Ess)
3 Taylor Walker (Adel)
2 Scott Thompson (Adel)
1 Nathan Lovett-Murray (Ess)
Where the votes will go …
Patrick Dangerfield should continue his late-season surge with another three votes. Taylor Walker and Scott Thompson will also be around the mark, but Jobe Watson and/or Courtenay Dempsey will fancy their chances of pinching a vote given the tight finish.
Our prediction:
3 - Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
2 - Taylor Walker (Adel)
1 - Jobe Watson (Ess)
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How will the umpires view the thriller at AAMI Stadium?
Round 20
Adelaide 19.10 (124) d West Coast 11.9 (75)
AAMI Stadium
Major ball winners:
Matt Wright (Adel): 37 possessions, six marks, five clearances and 2.0
Patrick Dangerfield (Adel): 34 possessions, 10 clearances, eight tackles and 2.0
Matt de Boer (Freo): 22 possessions, six clearances and 1.1
Michael Barlow (Freo): 21 possessions, six tackles and 1.0
Bernie Vince (Adel): 21 possessions, four inside 50ms and 1.0
Leading goalkickers:
Taylor Walker (Adel): 4.2, 12 possessions and eight marks
Michael Walters (Freo): 3.1, 11 possessions and four marks
Coaches votes
10 Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
8 Matt Wright (Adel)
6 Taylor Walker (Adel)
2 Paul Duffield (Freo)
2 Daniel Talia (Adel)
1 Matt de Boer (Freo)
1 Nathan Van Berlo (Adel)
Where the votes will go …
It was a toss-up between Patrick Dangerfield and Matt Wright for best-afield honours, but expect Dangerfield’s eye-catching style to give him the edge here. Daniel Talia, who kept Matthew Pavlich to two goals, and Nathan van Berlo, who nullified Stephen Hill, both played strong defensive roles, but Taylor Walker’s four-goal haul should earn him the remaining vote.
Our prediction:
3 - Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
2 - Matt Wright (Adel)
1 - Taylor Walker (Adel)
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Patrick Dangerfield should poll another three votes against Freo
Round 21
Adelaide 12.13 (85) lost to Brisbane Lions 13.17 (95)
Gabba
Major ball winners:
Scott Thompson (Adel): 32 possessions, eight clearances and five tackles
Patrick Dangerfield (Adel): 30 possessions, 10 inside 50ms and six clearances
Jack Redden (Bris): 30 possessions, nine tackles and seven clearances
Pearce Hanley (Bris): 27 possessions, seven rebound 50ms and six marks
Leading goalkickers:
Taylor Walker (Adel): 4.2, 15 possessions and seven marks
Ian Callinan (Adel): 4.1, 14 possessions and six marks
Rohan Bewick (Bris): 3.1, 10 possessions and four marks
Coaches votes
8 Jack Redden (Bris)
7 Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
5 Daniel Rich (Bris)
4 Jed Adcock (Bris)
2 Pearce Hanley (Bris)
2 Daniel Merrett (Bris)
2 Scott Thompson (Adel)
Where the votes will go …
The Crows bust out of the blocks at the Gabba, but were overrun after quarter-time. Jack Redden, Daniel Rich and Pearce Hanley were particularly damaging for the Lions, but Patrick Dangerfield is a sneaky chance to claim a minor vote for his strong second half.
Our prediction:
3 - Jack Redden (Bris)
2 - Daniel Rich (Bris)
1 - Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
Round 22
Adelaide 22.18 (150) d Melbourne 11.15 (81)
MCG
Major ball winners:
Colin Sylvia (Melb): 34 possessions, five clearances and five inside 50ms
Scott Thompson (Melb): 29 possessions, 11 clearances and three tackles
Taylor Walker (Melb): 25 possessions, 16 marks and 4.2
Nathan Jones (Melb): 25 possessions, eight clearances and 1.0
Matt Wright (Adel): 24 possessions, six marks and 1.1
Leading goalkickers:
Taylor Walker (Adel): 4.2
Ian Callinan (Adel): 4.0 and 11 possessions
Patrick Dangerfield (Adel): 3.1, 22 possessions and five inside 50ms
Kurt Tippett (Adel): 3.1, 18 possessions and nine hit-outs
Coaches votes
10 Taylor Walker (Adel)
6 Scott Thompson (Adel)
5 Colin Sylvia (Melb)
4 Sam Jacobs (Adel)
4 Kurt Tippett (Adel)
1 Dangerfield (Adel)
Where the votes will go …
Pencil in Taylor Walker’s name for the three votes here. Walker, who played arguably the best game of his short career to-date, dominated the Demons defence alongside Kurt Tippett. Tippett is a chance to claim a vote, but it’s more likely the umpires will vote in favour of ball winners Patrick Dangerfield and Scott Thompson, who ran riot in the midfield. Ruckman Sam Jacobs had 32 hit-outs and could also add to his tally.
Our prediction:
3 - Taylor Walker (Adel)
2 - Scott Thompson (Adel)
1 - Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
Taylor Walker was in superb form against the Dees
Round 23
Adelaide 22.21 (153) d Gold Coast 9.8 (62)
AAMI Stadium
Major ball winners:
Patrick Dangerfield (Adel): 36 possessions, eight inside 50ms and 2.1
Scott Thompson (Adel): 30 possessions, four clearances and 2.4
Gary Ablett (GC): 26 possessions, eight inside 50ms and 2.1
Jason Porplyzia (Adel): 25 possessions, eight marks and 1.3
Leading goalkickers
Ian Callinan (Adel): 4.1 and 17 possessions
Graham Johncock (Adel): 4.2, 11 possessions
Coaches votes
10 Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
8 Scott Thompson (Adel)
6 Ian Callinan (Adel)
2 Jason Porplyzia (Adel)
2 Nathan van Berlo (Adel)
1 Charlie Dixon (GC)
1 Lynch (GC)
Where the votes will go …
Patrick Dangerfield and Scott Thompson both spent time in attack to lighten their workloads ahead of finals, but still finished as the best two players on the ground. If Dangerfield polls three votes here, and Thompson two the pair will finish level on 25 votes according to the Crows Brownlow Medal Predictor! Will it be enough to finish top at the Crown Palladium tonight? Will the unbelievable happen - can two Crows tie for the game’s highest individual honour?
Our prediction:
3 - Patrick Dangerfield (Adel)
2 - Scott Thompson (Adel)
1 - Ian Callinan (Adel)
Crows Brownlow Medal Final leaderboard
Patrick Dangerfield and Scott Thompson - 25
* Taylor Walker - 11
Kurt Tippett - 9
Rory Sloane - 8
* Bernie Vince - 7
Jason Porplyzia - 6
Sam Jacobs - 3
Matt Wright - 3
Ricky Henderson - 2
Brent Reilly - 2
Matt Wright - 2
Ian Callinan - 1
*Ineligible through suspension
Brownlow Medal winners in the last decade
2011 - Dane Swan (Coll) 34 votes
2010 - Chris Judd (Carl) - 30 votes
2009 - Gary Ablett (Geel) - 30 votes
2008 - Adam Cooney (WB) - 24 votes
2007 - Jimmy Bartel (Geel) - 29 votes
2006 - Adam Goodes (Syd) - 26 votes
2005 - Ben Cousins (WCE) - 20 votes
2004 - Chris Judd (WCE) - 30 votes
2003 - Mark Ricciuto (Adel), Adam Goodes (Syd), Nathan Buckley (Coll) - 22 votes
2002 - Simon Black (Bris) - 25 votes
