Adelaide’s quest for a top-two finish hit a roadblock in Brisbane on Saturday night.
The Crows probably need one more win to lock away a spot in the top four.
Adelaide could still secure a home qualifying final if the Club wins its two remaining minor-round matches against Melbourne and Gold Coast. But the Crows will also need other results to go their way - for Sydney to lose both of their games, or Hawthorn to drop at least one.
The Swans and Hawks both have superior percentage to Adelaide, but play each other in a massive twilight clash at the SCG on Saturday.
The Magpies, who suffered an upset loss to an in-form North Melbourne, will also be relying on other results after slipping to fourth - level with Adelaide on points, but with an inferior percentage. They face the Eagles at Patersons Stadium in another Saturday blockbuster.
West Coast, Geelong, North Melbourne and Fremantle entrenched themselves in the top eight with strong wins, while Carlton is making a late surge but needs Freo to falter to sneak in.
Have a go at predicting the final eight with the AFL Ladder Predictor?
The AFL ladder as it currently stands
1. Sydney Swans
64 points (16 wins, four losses), 149.61 per cent
The run home:
Rd 22: Hawthorn at the SCG
Rd 23: Geelong at Simonds Stadium
2. Hawthorn
60 points (15 wins, five losses) 158.29 per cent
The run home:
Rd 22: Sydney at the SCG
Rd 23: West Coast at the MCG
3. Adelaide?
60 points (15 wins, five losses) 125.74 per cent? ?
The run home:
Rd 22: Melbourne at the MCG?
Rd 23: Gold Coast at AAMI Stadium?
4. Collingwood
60 points (15 wins, five losses) 119.28 per cent
The run home:
Rd 22: West Coast at Patersons Stadium
Rd 23: Essendon at the MCG
5. West Coast
56 points (14 wins, six losses) 124.97 per cent
The run home:
Rd 22: Collingwood at Patersons Stadium
Rd 23: Hawthorn at the MCG
6. North Melbourne
52 points (13 wins, seven losses), 115.20 per cent? ?
The run home:
Rd 22: Fremantle at Etihad Stadium?
Rd 23: Greater Western Sydney at Skoda Stadium? ?
7. Geelong
52 points (13 wins, seven losses), 114.70 per cent
The run home:
Rd 22: Western Bulldogs at Simonds Stadium
Rd 23: Sydney Swans at Simonds Stadium
8. Fremantle
48 points (12 wins, eight losses) 109.61 per cent
The run home:
Rd 22: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
Rd 23: Melbourne at Patersons Stadium
9. Carlton
44 points (11 wins, nine losses) 110.52 per cent
The run home:
Rd 22: Gold Coast at Metricon Stadium
Rd 23: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
10. Essendon
44 points (11 wins, nine losses) 104.14 per cent? ?
The run home:
Rd 22: Richmond at the MCG?
Rd 23: Collingwood at the MCG? ?
11. St Kilda
40 points (10 wins, 10 losses), 116.94 per cent
The run home:
Rd 22: Greater Western Sydney at Etihad Stadium
Rd 23: Carlton at Etihad Stadium