Three more teams dropped out of the race to the finals on the weekend.
With two minor rounds to play, Geelong is the only team out of the eight with any hope of playing finals this year but needs to win both of its games against Collingwood and Adelaide.
The mathematical chances of sneaking into the top eight disappeared for GWS, Port and Collingwood.
But higher on the ladder, top four positions are also in dispute. Sydney jumped back into fourth, on the same points as third-placed Hawthorn. Richmond, Western Bulldogs and North Melbourne are one win behind.
The run home
1. Fremantle
64 points (16 wins, four losses) 122.2 per cent
Another loss keeps top spot open but the Dockers will start the finals at home.
Rd 22: Melbourne at Domain Stadium
Rd 23: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval
2. West Coast
Would need to lose both remaining games to lose second spot – and a home final in Perth.
62 points (15 wins, four losses, one draw) 150.9 per cent
Rd 22: Adelaide at Adelaide Oval
Rd 23: St Kilda at Domain Stadium
3. Hawthorn
56 points (14 wins, six losses) 154.2 per cent
Should win its last two games to stay in top four but top two chances very slim
Rd 22: Brisbane Lions at Aurora Stadium
Rd 23: Carlton at the MCG
4. Sydney Swans
56 points (14 wins, six losses) 118.2 per cent
Back in the top four and will stay there with two more wins
Rd 22: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 23: Gold Coast at the SCG
5. Richmond
52 points (13 wins, seven losses) 120.2 per cent
Safe in the finals and still with a slim chance of taking fourth spot from Sydney.
Rd 22: Essendon at the MCG
Rd 23: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
6. Western Bulldogs
52 points (13 wins, seven losses) 116.1 per cent
Dropped from the top four on Sunday and even if they win both remaining games need Sydney to lose at least once.
Rd 22: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
Rd 23: Brisbane Lions at the Gabba
7. North Melbourne
52 points (13 wins, seven losses) 110.9 per cent
The win over Fremantle was huge for the Roos. Almost certain to now play finals, even if it loses the next two games.
Rd 22: Western Bulldogs at Etihad Stadium
Rd 23: Richmond at Etihad Stadium
8. Adelaide
50 points (12 wins, seven losses, one no result) 116.4 per cent
At this stage, needs one more win to stay in the eight
Rd 22: West Coast at Adelaide Oval
Rd 23: Geelong at Simonds Stadium
9. Geelong
44 points (Ten wins, eight losses, one draw, one no result) 101. 8 per cent
Need to win both games to play in the finals. However, also needs Adelaide to lose both games.
Rd 22: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 23: Adelaide at Simonds Stadium
Who's going to make it? Forecast the final eight with the 2015 ladder predictor
